Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1.729904 1.987181 2.269988 2.604002 2.987858 3.415360 3.927873
2025-06-22 1.380303 1.719608 2.123846 2.641285 3.286714 4.066201 5.080663
2025-06-29 1.109977 1.482689 1.958544 2.611410 3.485456 4.617647 6.199855
2025-07-06 0.883350 1.254615 1.758393 2.493189 3.540363 4.983525 7.131715
2025-07-13 0.781625 1.173140 1.734339 2.599353 3.903681 5.804833 8.801341
2025-07-20 0.704341 1.111361 1.724511 2.718197 4.295425 6.714602 10.731728
2025-07-27 0.635638 1.049869 1.702896 2.810941 4.654397 7.617363 12.779119
2025-08-03 0.567742 0.978039 1.652510 2.846470 4.921040 8.402816 14.743653
2025-08-10 0.491662 0.880566 1.545086 2.768478 4.981461 8.847460 16.184231
2025-08-17 0.418663 0.777451 1.412986 2.626564 4.905733 9.039151 17.191446
2025-08-24 0.372792 0.716472 1.346430 2.591914 5.016072 9.571969 18.893808
2025-08-31 0.332533 0.660233 1.280676 2.548458 5.101084 10.063554 20.578221
2025-09-07 0.316594 0.650465 1.304502 2.688140 5.575351 11.392225 24.180323
2025-09-14 0.290580 0.616984 1.277696 2.722974 5.844425 12.353431 27.181936
2025-09-21 0.261143 0.572252 1.222124 2.690081 5.967164 13.030695 29.683938
2025-09-28 0.227686 0.514173 1.130828 2.567116 5.876461 13.238846 31.175831
2025-10-05 0.216960 0.504800 1.143093 2.675785 6.320037 14.686892 35.748733
2025-10-12 0.207964 0.498062 1.160181 2.797757 6.811960 16.314264 41.006741
2025-10-19 0.197742 0.486968 1.165717 2.893007 7.253739 17.885953 46.377571
2025-10-26 0.184712 0.467233 1.148221 2.929444 7.555761 19.161313 51.197659
2025-11-02 0.166342 0.431648 1.087652 2.849072 7.549560 19.666277 54.075935
2025-11-09 0.146607 0.389843 1.006127 2.702933 7.350052 19.645634 55.526673
2025-11-16 0.134491 0.366381 0.968286 2.667239 7.441582 20.404922 59.271418